Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 21/07, 16:00

Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Oliver Crawford

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Alex Marti Pujolras Oliver Crawford
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Marti Pujolras 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLLL
Oliver Crawford 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWWW
Head-to-head
Alex Marti Pujolras 0–1 Oliver Crawford (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1440 · Oliver Crawford 1543
Alex Marti PujolrasOliver Crawford
Our model36%64%
Market14%86%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Crawford (rating 1440 vs 1543).
  • Oliver Crawford is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Alex Marti Pujolras 0–1 Oliver Crawford (1).
  • Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (7.4/match).

Statistics

Alex Marti PujolrasOliver Crawford
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.4-1.1
Games (G-P)9.6-11.312.5-10.9
Aces2.82.5
Double faults7.42.2
1st serve %65.1%68.3%
Break %56.6%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

H2H · Alex Marti Pujolras 01 Oliver Crawford (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Marti Pujolras 01 Oliver Crawford

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DateSetsGamesRes.
14/07/24
M25 The Hague
0-21-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alex Marti Pujolras

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Abel Forger
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
07/07 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Iasi · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/07 Samir Hamza Reguig
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 12-14 L
05/07 Vijay Sundar Prashanth
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/06 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/06 Andrej Martin
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
07/06 Benjamin Hassan
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
02/06 Luka Mikrut
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
01/06 David Fix
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
24/05 Oriol Roca Batalla
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Oliver Crawford

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Chris Rodesch
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
1-2 18-19 L
15/07 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-1 17-11 W
14/07 Pablo Perez Navarro
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Yanki Erel
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 2-12 L
10/07 Dan Added
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-7 W
09/07 Robin Bertrand
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 16-10 W
08/07 Mae Malige
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-3 W
07/07 Rigele Te
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 16-14 W
22/06 Jurij Rodionov
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
17/06 Alexis Galarneau
Challenger Dublin · Grass
1-2 12-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Oliver Crawford?

Our model gives 76% to Oliver Crawford, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.