Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Prediction summary
Winner
Antoine Ghibaudo
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Antoine Ghibaudo
5-5 (W-L)
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antoine Ghibaudo 1436 · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1497
| Antoine Ghibaudo | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejo Sanchez Quilez (rating 1436 vs 1497).
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Antoine Ghibaudo | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.2 | 10.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 27.8% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antoine Ghibaudo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Lui Maxted Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/05 | James Watt Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Michael Zheng French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Tunis · Clay |
1-1 | 10-12 | L |
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Orlando Luz Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Alex Martinez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antoine Ghibaudo vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?
Our model gives 54% to Alejo Sanchez Quilez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.