Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Ilya Ivashka
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Villanueva
Ilya Ivashka
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva
8-2 (W-L)
Ilya Ivashka
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1569 · Ilya Ivashka 1569
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.1 | 14.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Villanueva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Ilya Ivashka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 17/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Agustin Siancha Borlenghi Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Ilya Ivashka?
Our model gives 67% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.