Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
24.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Boscardin Dias
3-7 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Boscardin Dias 1392 · Otto Virtanen 1558
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Otto Virtanen (rating 1392 vs 1558).
- Pedro Boscardin Dias dominates on serve: 11.1 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Otto Virtanen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 11% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 1.7-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-13.6 | 16.2-14.7 |
| Aces | 11.1 | 14.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 79.9% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Alexis Galarneau French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Nikoloz Basilashvili French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/04 | Liam Draxl Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Ben Shelton Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 24/06 | Luca Nardi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Pedro Martinez Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 74% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.