Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Oskari Paldanius vs Franco Roncadelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskari Paldanius
Franco Roncadelli
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Franco Roncadelli
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskari Paldanius 1466 · Franco Roncadelli 1487
| Oskari Paldanius | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oskari Paldanius | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12.4 | 10.2-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 0.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Tazabekov M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Daniel Masur Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jonas Kucera M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Peter Makk M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Bor Artnak M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskari Paldanius vs Franco Roncadelli?
Our model gives 64% to Franco Roncadelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.