Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 20/07, 14:00
Prediction: Daniel Elahi Galan vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Elahi Galan
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Elahi Galan
5-5 (W-L)
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Elahi Galan 1532 · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1461
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Elahi Galan (rating 1532 vs 1461).
Statistics
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.2 | 12.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 68% |
| Break % | 30.2% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Abel Forger Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 11/06 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Marco Furlanetto M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Elahi Galan vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
Our model gives 59% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.