Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Eero Vasa
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Eero Vasa
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
6-4 (W-L)
Eero Vasa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1503 · Eero Vasa 1471
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Eero Vasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Eero Vasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.3 | 11-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 68% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Norbert Gombos ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/06 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Eero Vasa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Sander Jong M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Stan Put M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Amine Jamji M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yassine Smiej M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/05 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Jaime Faria Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Eero Vasa?
Our model gives 65% to Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.