Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Dali Blanch vs Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Dali Blanch
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dali Blanch
7-3 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dali Blanch
0–1
Tom Gentzsch
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dali Blanch 1524 · Tom Gentzsch 1565
| Dali Blanch | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1524 vs 1565).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 53.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Dali Blanch 0–1 Tom Gentzsch (1).
Statistics
| Dali Blanch | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.2 | 11.4-11 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Dali Blanch 0 – 1 Tom Gentzsch (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dali Blanch 0–1 Tom Gentzsch
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/25 Challenger Bunschoten | 1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dali Blanch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Tom Gentzsch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Zdenek Kolar Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Tiago Pereira ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dali Blanch vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 57% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.