Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Sumit Nagal vs Andrej Nedic
Prediction summary
Winner
Sumit Nagal
Andrej Nedic
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sumit Nagal
6-4 (W-L)
Andrej Nedic
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sumit Nagal
0–1
Andrej Nedic
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sumit Nagal 1572 · Andrej Nedic 1508
| Sumit Nagal | Andrej Nedic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sumit Nagal (rating 1572 vs 1508).
- Head-to-head: Sumit Nagal 0–1 Andrej Nedic (1).
Statistics
| Sumit Nagal | Andrej Nedic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11.6 | 11.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Sumit Nagal 0 – 1 Andrej Nedic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sumit Nagal 0–1 Andrej Nedic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/25 Challenger Sofia | 1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sumit Nagal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Mariano Kestelboim Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Andrej Nedic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sumit Nagal vs Andrej Nedic?
Our model gives 56% to Sumit Nagal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.