Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 10:00

Prediction: Nicolas Kicker vs Diego Dedura-Palomero

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Nicolas Kicker Diego Dedura-Palomero
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Kicker 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLWW
Diego Dedura-Palomero 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nicolas Kicker 1557 · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1533
Nicolas KickerDiego Dedura-Palomero
Our model53%47%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Nicolas KickerDiego Dedura-Palomero
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.2-1.1
Games (G-P)12.6-910.9-11.3
Aces1.21.7
Double faults1.31.5
1st serve %62.8%66.2%
Break %40%50.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nicolas Kicker

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/06 Nicolas Zanellato
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
26/06 Bruno Fernandez
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-1 17-16 W
17/06 Conner Huertas Del Pino
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
16/06 Federico Coria
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
13/06 Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
12/06 Nick Hardt
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
10/06 Tomas Martinez
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/05 Franco Roncadelli
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
1-2 17-16 L
13/05 Ryan Dickerson
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
12/05 Ignacio Monzon
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Diego Dedura-Palomero

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Jan Choinski
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/07 Dalibor Svrcina
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
07/07 Clement Tabur
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
01/07 Francisco Comesana
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 13-19 L
29/06 Miguel Damas
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Sergio Callejon Hernando
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
24/06 Joaquin Guilleme
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
22/06 Alexandre Reco
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Halle · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
09/06 James Duckworth
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nicolas Kicker vs Diego Dedura-Palomero?

Our model gives 57% to Diego Dedura-Palomero, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.