Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
4-6 (W-L)
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
1–0
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1466 · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1468
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1–0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (1).
- Note: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-13.3 | 10.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 10.7 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 31.3% | 31% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1 – 0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1–0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/25 Challenger Tampere | 2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Tom Gentzsch French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Borna Gojo French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?
Our model gives 59% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.