Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 19/07, 14:55
Prediction: Dominik Palan vs Bernardo Munk Mesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominik Palan
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Palan
5-5 (W-L)
Bernardo Munk Mesa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominik Palan 1492 · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1478
| Dominik Palan | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Dominik Palan | Bernardo Munk Mesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.3 | 12.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 7 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Adam Martin Espinar Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | David Poljak Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/06 | John Sperle Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Alastair Gray Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Mikel Martinez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/02 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/02 | Timofey Stepanov UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/02 | Jordan Chiu UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Aditya Vashistha UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominik Palan vs Bernardo Munk Mesa?
Our model gives 51% to Dominik Palan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.