Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 19/07, 10:00
Prediction: Yaroslav Demin vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaroslav Demin
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yaroslav Demin
4-6 (W-L)
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaroslav Demin 1496 · Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 1592
| Yaroslav Demin | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine (rating 1496 vs 1592).
- Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Yaroslav Demin makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Yaroslav Demin | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.8 | 12.1-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 46% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Vic |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Menorca · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/04 | Christoph Negritu Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/03 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Menorca · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Udit Kamboj M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Renato Kurmanaev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 26/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Birtan Duran M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Bogdan Seleznev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Felix Roussel M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaroslav Demin vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine?
Our model gives 50% to Yaroslav Demin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.