Tennis · WTA Athens · 19/07, 19:00
Prediction: Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkari
Prediction summary
Winner
Barbora Krejcikova
Maria Sakkari
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Barbora Krejcikova
7-3 (W-L)
Maria Sakkari
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Barbora Krejcikova
2–0
Maria Sakkari
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barbora Krejcikova 1574 · Maria Sakkari 1523
| Barbora Krejcikova | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbora Krejcikova (rating 1574 vs 1523).
- Head-to-head: Barbora Krejcikova 2–0 Maria Sakkari (2).
- Note: Barbora Krejcikova makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Barbora Krejcikova | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-9.4 | 11.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Barbora Krejcikova 2 – 0 Maria Sakkari (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barbora Krejcikova 2–0 Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/21 French Open Women | 2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 07/03/21 WTA Dubai | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barbora Krejcikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Viktoriya Tomova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Mirra Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Hannah Klugman Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Magda Linette WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Harriet Dart WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamilla Rakhimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Clara Tauson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkari?
Our model gives 56% to Barbora Krejcikova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.