Tennis · WTA Athens · 17/07, 16:30
Prediction: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Barbora Krejcikova
Qinwen Zheng
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Barbora Krejcikova
7-3 (W-L)
Qinwen Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Barbora Krejcikova
0–2
Qinwen Zheng
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barbora Krejcikova 1571 · Qinwen Zheng 1471
| Barbora Krejcikova | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbora Krejcikova (rating 1571 vs 1471).
- Qinwen Zheng dominates on serve: 9.7 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Barbora Krejcikova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Barbora Krejcikova 0–2 Qinwen Zheng (2).
- Note: Barbora Krejcikova makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Barbora Krejcikova | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.4 | 11.7-12.5 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 9.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 74% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Barbora Krejcikova 0 – 2 Qinwen Zheng (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barbora Krejcikova 0–2 Qinwen Zheng
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/24 WTA Finals | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/10/23 WTA Zhengzhou | 1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barbora Krejcikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Viktoriya Tomova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Mirra Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Hannah Klugman Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Magda Linette WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Qinwen Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Maria Sakkari WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zheng?
Our model gives 58% to Barbora Krejcikova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.