Tennis · WTA Athens · 17/07, 15:00

Prediction: Tereza Valentova vs Alina Korneeva

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Tereza Valentova Alina Korneeva
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tereza Valentova 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLWW
Alina Korneeva 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tereza Valentova 1494 · Alina Korneeva 1528
Tereza ValentovaAlina Korneeva
Our model45%55%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Tereza ValentovaAlina Korneeva
Win %50%60%
Win % · Grass 40% (5) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.4-1
Games (G-P)11.7-1112.9-10
Aces1.53.1
Double faults3.83.3
1st serve %61.4%63.4%
Break %54.1%60.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tereza Valentova

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/06 Karolina Pliskova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
25/06 Tatjana Maria
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
24/06 Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
2-1 17-13 W
22/06 Hannah Klugman
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
2-1 19-17 W
15/06 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Nottingham · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
24/05 Magda Linette
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 17-18 L
07/05 Coco Gauff
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
06/05 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Alina Korneeva

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Ann Li
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Aoi Ito
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/06 Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 11-12 L
25/06 Fiona Crawley
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-2 W
24/06 Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 19-14 W
23/06 Alexandra Shubladze
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 15-15 W
18/06 Martyna Kubka
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
1-2 17-18 L
16/06 Fangran Tian
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
09/06 Celine Naef
WTA Ilkley · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
28/05 Anna Kalinskaya
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tereza Valentova vs Alina Korneeva?

Our model gives 53% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.