Tennis · WTA Athens · 17/07, 16:30
Prediction: Alycia Parks vs Maria Sakkari
Prediction summary
Winner
Alycia Parks
Maria Sakkari
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Alycia Parks
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Sakkari
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alycia Parks
2–0
Maria Sakkari
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alycia Parks 1478 · Maria Sakkari 1515
| Alycia Parks | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alycia Parks dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 56.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alycia Parks 2–0 Maria Sakkari (2).
- Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Alycia Parks | Maria Sakkari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.5 | 11.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 7.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Alycia Parks 2 – 0 Maria Sakkari (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alycia Parks 2–0 Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 WTA Miami | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10/22 WTA Ostrava | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alycia Parks
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Alicia Dudeney Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Viktorija Golubic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Leylah Annie Fernandez French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Jil Teichmann WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Harriet Dart WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamilla Rakhimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Clara Tauson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Claire Liu French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Linda Noskova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alycia Parks vs Maria Sakkari?
Our model gives 64% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.