Tennis · WTA Athens · 18/07, 18:30
Prediction: Maria Sakkari vs Alina Korneeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Sakkari
Alina Korneeva
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Sakkari
7-3 (W-L)
Alina Korneeva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sakkari 1515 · Alina Korneeva 1545
| Maria Sakkari | Alina Korneeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maria Sakkari | Alina Korneeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.4 | 13.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sakkari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Harriet Dart WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamilla Rakhimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Clara Tauson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Claire Liu French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Alina Korneeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexandra Shubladze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Martyna Kubka WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Fangran Tian WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sakkari vs Alina Korneeva?
Our model gives 54% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.