Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 19/07, 11:30
Prediction: Federico Arnaboldi vs Peetu Pohjola
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Arnaboldi
Peetu Pohjola
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Arnaboldi
7-3 (W-L)
Peetu Pohjola
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Arnaboldi 1560 · Peetu Pohjola 1520
| Federico Arnaboldi | Peetu Pohjola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Arnaboldi (rating 1560 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Federico Arnaboldi | Peetu Pohjola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-7.6 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Arnaboldi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Petr Nesterov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Peetu Pohjola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Sven Corbinais M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Lars Wagenaar M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Botond Nagy ITF M15 Szabolcsveresmart · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Sam Ryan Ziegann UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Tomislav Jotovski UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/10 | Luka Vuglar UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Gergely Madarasz UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | George Lazarov UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Nazar Oliynykov UTR Pro Zadar · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Arnaboldi vs Peetu Pohjola?
Our model gives 75% to Federico Arnaboldi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.