Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 19/07, 10:00
Prediction: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Maxime Janvier
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
Maxime Janvier
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
3-7 (W-L)
Maxime Janvier
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskar Brostrom Poulsen 1409 · Maxime Janvier 1468
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Janvier (rating 1409 vs 1468).
- Note: Maxime Janvier makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Oskar Brostrom Poulsen | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-13.5 | 11.8-12.8 |
| Aces | 9.9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 23.9% | 31.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Nikola Slavic M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/04 | S Mert Ozdemir Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/04 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Maxime Janvier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Arjun Kadhe Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Maxime Janvier?
Our model gives 64% to Maxime Janvier, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.