Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 19/07, 13:00
Prediction: Igor Marcondes vs Alan Wazny
Prediction summary
Winner
Igor Marcondes
Alan Wazny
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Igor Marcondes
5-5 (W-L)
Alan Wazny
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Igor Marcondes 1505 · Alan Wazny 1557
| Igor Marcondes | Alan Wazny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alan Wazny (rating 1505 vs 1557).
Statistics
| Igor Marcondes | Alan Wazny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-13.2 | 13.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 30% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Igor Marcondes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/03 | Alex Barrena Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 11/03 | Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Challenger Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Jaime Faria Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/03 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Alan Wazny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 26/06 | Karol Filar M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Karol Filar Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/05 | Tiago Pereira M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Igor Marcondes vs Alan Wazny?
Our model gives 58% to Igor Marcondes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.