Tennis · ATP Estoril · 21/07, 13:00
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Jaime Faria
Estimated games
29.4
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
5-5 (W-L)
Jaime Faria
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1489 · Jaime Faria 1541
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Jaime Faria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jaime Faria (rating 1489 vs 1541).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 9.5 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 12.4 aces and 47.1% break avg.
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Jaime Faria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.6 | 1.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.6-16.3 | 16.3-15.7 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 12.4 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
29.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Francisco Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 10/05 | Karen Khachanov ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Jaime Faria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-19 | W |
| 25/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 24/06 | Luka Pavlovic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Hugo Grenier Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Moez Echargui Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Frances Tiafoe French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 22-29 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria?
Our model gives 57% to Jaime Faria, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.