Tennis · ATP Estoril · 21/07, 13:00
Prediction: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Titouan Droguet
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Titouan Droguet
5-5 (W-L)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Titouan Droguet 1548 · Camilo Ugo Carabelli 1528
| Titouan Droguet | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Titouan Droguet | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.6 | 13.7-14.1 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Titouan Droguet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Marko Topo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 27/05 | Andrey Rublev French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-20 | L |
| 25/05 | Emilio Nava French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/05 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Matteo Berrettini Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Our model gives 51% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.