Tennis · ATP Estoril · 21/07, 13:00
Prediction: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Torres
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Torres
7-3 (W-L)
Nikoloz Basilashvili
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Torres 1532 · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1460
| Tiago Torres | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Torres (rating 1532 vs 1460).
- Tiago Torres is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Tiago Torres makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Nikoloz Basilashvili makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Torres | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.9 | 11.9-13.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 9.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Torres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Lucca Liu M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Lui Maxted M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/06 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jan Choinski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Elias Ymer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Pedro Boscardin Dias French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Andrey Rublev ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Our model gives 60% to Nikoloz Basilashvili, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.