Tennis · ATP Estoril · 21/07, 13:00
Prediction: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Assche
Prediction summary
Winner
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Luca Van Assche
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Frederico Ferreira Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Luca Van Assche
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Frederico Ferreira Silva 1426 · Luca Van Assche 1575
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Van Assche (rating 1426 vs 1575).
- Luca Van Assche is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.8-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.8 | 14.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 69% |
| Break % | 32.5% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/05 | Federico Agustin Gomez French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Luca Van Assche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Brandon Nakashima French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 22-29 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Assche?
Our model gives 75% to Luca Van Assche, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.