Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 19/07, 12:00

Prediction: Nastasja Schunk vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Nastasja Schunk Irene Burillo Escorihuela
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nastasja Schunk 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLLWWWW
Irene Burillo Escorihuela 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nastasja Schunk 1549 · Irene Burillo Escorihuela 1512
Nastasja SchunkIrene Burillo Escorihuela
Our model55%45%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Nastasja SchunkIrene Burillo Escorihuela
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.4-1.2
Games (G-P)11.6-9.313.3-12.9
Aces1.14.3
Double faults2.52.5
1st serve %62.4%59%
Break %48.6%43.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nastasja Schunk

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/07 Francesca Curmi
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Selena Janicijevic
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 13-10 W
16/07 Mathilde Lollia
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Julia Stusek
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 Tamara Zidansek
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 8-13 L
06/06 Alessandra Mazzola
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/06 Diletta Cherubini
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
04/06 Mina Hodzic
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
02/06 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
23/05 Sarah Van Emst
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/07 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 13-7 W
17/07 Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 13-10 W
16/07 Valentina Steiner
W50 Darmstadt
2-1 16-15 W
15/07 Gabriella Da Silva Fick
W50 Darmstadt
2-1 18-10 W
09/07 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Bastad · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
08/07 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 19-16 W
06/07 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
24/06 Beatrise Zeltina
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
27/05 Tyra Caterina Grant
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/05 Viktoriya Tomova
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 10-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nastasja Schunk vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela?

Our model gives 58% to Nastasja Schunk, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.