Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 17/07, 11:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Xinxin Yao
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Xinxin Yao
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
8-2 (W-L)
Xinxin Yao
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Curmi
1–0
Xinxin Yao
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1597 · Xinxin Yao 1563
| Francesca Curmi | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Francesca Curmi 1–0 Xinxin Yao (1).
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-7 | 11.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 59.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Francesca Curmi 1 – 0 Xinxin Yao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Curmi 1–0 Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/22 W15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Fernanda Labrana W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Jenny Lim W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Diana Martynov W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Isabel Skoog W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Darya Astakhova W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Mai Hontama W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Yufei Ren W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/06 | Reina Goto W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/06 | JiaYi Wang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Yexin Ma W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Maria Golovina W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Xinxin Yao?
Our model gives 67% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.