Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 17/07, 11:30

Prediction: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Alicia Herrero Linana

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Irene Burillo Escorihuela Alicia Herrero Linana
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Irene Burillo Escorihuela 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWWWLL
Alicia Herrero Linana 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Irene Burillo Escorihuela 1466 · Alicia Herrero Linana 1577
Irene Burillo EscorihuelaAlicia Herrero Linana
Our model35%65%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Herrero Linana (rating 1466 vs 1577).
  • Alicia Herrero Linana is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Irene Burillo EscorihuelaAlicia Herrero Linana
Win %40%80%
Win % · Clay 25% (8) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.61.6-0.6
Games (G-P)11.8-13.711.8-7.4
Aces4.40.1
Double faults2.41.1
1st serve %56%63.8%
Break %38.6%58.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Valentina Steiner
W50 Darmstadt
2-1 16-15 W
15/07 Gabriella Da Silva Fick
W50 Darmstadt
2-1 18-10 W
09/07 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Bastad · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
08/07 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 19-16 W
06/07 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
24/06 Beatrise Zeltina
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
27/05 Tyra Caterina Grant
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/05 Viktoriya Tomova
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
13/05 Lea Boskovic
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
1-2 7-14 L
06/05 Mina Hodzic
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L

Alicia Herrero Linana

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Dayeon Back
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 13-9 W
15/07 Lea Nilsson
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-3 W
10/07 Mayar Sherif
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
09/07 Clara Burel
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
07/07 Elina Avanesyan
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/07 Lucie Nguyen Tan
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
05/07 Dune Vaissaud
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 17-8 W
25/06 Savannah Broadus
W35 Rome
0-2 7-13 L
23/06 Carolina Bohrer Martins
W35 Rome
2-0 12-3 W
19/06 Nadia Elle Valdez
UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Alicia Herrero Linana?

Our model gives 59% to Alicia Herrero Linana, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.