Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: Nastasja Schunk vs Francesca Curmi
Prediction summary
Winner
Nastasja Schunk
Francesca Curmi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nastasja Schunk
6-4 (W-L)
Francesca Curmi
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nastasja Schunk 1543 · Francesca Curmi 1600
| Nastasja Schunk | Francesca Curmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Curmi (rating 1543 vs 1600).
Statistics
| Nastasja Schunk | Francesca Curmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.9 | 11.6-7.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 61% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nastasja Schunk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Mathilde Lollia W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Julia Stusek W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Tamara Zidansek W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/05 | Sarah Van Emst W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Francesca Curmi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Xinxin Yao W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Fernanda Labrana W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Jenny Lim W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nastasja Schunk vs Francesca Curmi?
Our model gives 59% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.