Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Nastasja Schunk vs Mathilde Lollia
Prediction summary
Winner
Nastasja Schunk
Mathilde Lollia
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nastasja Schunk
6-4 (W-L)
Mathilde Lollia
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nastasja Schunk 1552 · Mathilde Lollia 1537
| Nastasja Schunk | Mathilde Lollia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathilde Lollia makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Nastasja Schunk | Mathilde Lollia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.2 | 11.7-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nastasja Schunk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Julia Stusek W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Tamara Zidansek W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/05 | Sarah Van Emst W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Britt Du Pree W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mathilde Lollia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Laetitia Pulchartova W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Christina Bednarczyk W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Julia Riera W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Marine Szostak W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Francesca Dell'edera W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 12/05 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/04 | Jenny Lim W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nastasja Schunk vs Mathilde Lollia?
Our model gives 65% to Nastasja Schunk, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.