Tennis · ATP Estoril · 19/07, 15:40
Prediction: Pedro Martinez vs Timofey Skatov
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Martinez
Timofey Skatov
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Martinez
6-4 (W-L)
Timofey Skatov
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pedro Martinez
1–0
Timofey Skatov
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Martinez 1490 · Timofey Skatov 1513
| Pedro Martinez | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Pedro Martinez 1–0 Timofey Skatov (1).
Statistics
| Pedro Martinez | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.4 | 13-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 71% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Pedro Martinez 1 – 0 Timofey Skatov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Martinez 1–0 Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Challenger Bengaluru | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | David Jorda Sanchis ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Joao Domingues ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Anirudh Chandrasekar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Elias Ymer Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Alex Barrena Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | James Watt Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 09/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Martinez vs Timofey Skatov?
Our model gives 53% to Pedro Martinez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

