Tennis · ATP Estoril · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
Prediction summary
Winner
Stan Wawrinka
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Estimated games
25.2
Recent form · 10 last
Stan Wawrinka
3-7 (W-L)
Roman Andres Burruchaga
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stan Wawrinka 1434 · Roman Andres Burruchaga 1471
| Stan Wawrinka | Roman Andres Burruchaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Roman Andres Burruchaga makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Stan Wawrinka | Roman Andres Burruchaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-2 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-16.2 | 9.9-13 |
| Aces | 9.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 23.5% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stan Wawrinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 07/06 | Arthur Rinderknech Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Corentin Moutet Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-21 | L |
| 20/05 | Alex Michelsen ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Raul Brancaccio ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/05 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 28/04 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Cameron Norrie ATP Barcelona · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 12-23 | L |
| 19/05 | Luciano Darderi ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga?
Our model gives 62% to Roman Andres Burruchaga, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.