Tennis · ATP Estoril · 19/07, 14:30
Prediction: Orlando Luz vs Clement Tabur
Prediction summary
Winner
Orlando Luz
Clement Tabur
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Orlando Luz
3-7 (W-L)
Clement Tabur
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orlando Luz 1480 · Clement Tabur 1537
| Orlando Luz | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 15% | 85% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clement Tabur (rating 1480 vs 1537).
- Clement Tabur dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 44.4% break avg.
- Note: Orlando Luz makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Orlando Luz | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.7-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.7 | 15.1-14.3 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 30.4% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orlando Luz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/02 | Henrique Rocha ATP Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/11 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/11 | Natan Rodrigues Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/11 | Daniel V C Rebelo Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Andrea Collarini Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Niklas Schell Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Clement Tabur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Edas Butvilas ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 13/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Hendrik Jebens ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-22 | L |
| 24/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Federico Agustin Gomez Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orlando Luz vs Clement Tabur?
Our model gives 73% to Clement Tabur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.