Tennis · ATP Estoril · 19/07, 13:00
Prediction: Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Kyrian Jacquet
Taro Daniel
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Kyrian Jacquet
8-2 (W-L)
Taro Daniel
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kyrian Jacquet
2–0
Taro Daniel
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyrian Jacquet 1553 · Taro Daniel 1590
| Kyrian Jacquet | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kyrian Jacquet dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 40% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Kyrian Jacquet 2–0 Taro Daniel (2).
Statistics
| Kyrian Jacquet | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.5 | 12.3-9 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 40% | 57% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Kyrian Jacquet 2 – 0 Taro Daniel (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kyrian Jacquet 2–0 Taro Daniel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/25 French Open | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07/24 Challenger Salzburg | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyrian Jacquet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Taro Daniel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Coria ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Federico Cina Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 52% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.