Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · 19/07, 04:10
Prediction: Haruna Arakawa vs Junri Namigata
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruna Arakawa
Junri Namigata
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Haruna Arakawa
4-6 (W-L)
Junri Namigata
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Haruna Arakawa
0–2
Junri Namigata
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruna Arakawa 1473 · Junri Namigata 1596
| Haruna Arakawa | Junri Namigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junri Namigata (rating 1473 vs 1596).
- Junri Namigata is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Haruna Arakawa 0–2 Junri Namigata (2).
Statistics
| Haruna Arakawa | Junri Namigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12 | 12.9-7.6 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 52.3% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Haruna Arakawa 0 – 2 Junri Namigata (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Haruna Arakawa 0–2 Junri Namigata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/19 ITF W60 Kurume | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/10/17 ITF Women Hamamatsu | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Misaki Matsuda ITF W35 Hamamatsu |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/10 | Katherine Sebov ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Nadia Lagaev ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Amelia Rajecki ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Teah Chavez ITF W35 Quebec City |
1-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Ana Grubor ITF W35 Quebec City |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Junri Namigata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Mayuka Aikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Yui Ohwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Ran Inaba UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Rio Maeda UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Mayuka Aikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Kokoro Ishikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/06 | Chisato Kanemaki UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/06 | Yura Nakagawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Yuko Wadazumi UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruna Arakawa vs Junri Namigata?
Our model gives 61% to Junri Namigata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.