Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · 15/07, 04:20
Prediction: Yui Ohwaki vs Junri Namigata
Prediction summary
Winner
Yui Ohwaki
Junri Namigata
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yui Ohwaki
3-7 (W-L)
Junri Namigata
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yui Ohwaki
0–5
Junri Namigata
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yui Ohwaki 1450 · Junri Namigata 1650
| Yui Ohwaki | Junri Namigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 76% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junri Namigata (rating 1450 vs 1650).
- Junri Namigata is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yui Ohwaki 0–5 Junri Namigata (5).
Statistics
| Yui Ohwaki | Junri Namigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.6 | 11.8-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 49.1% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 61.2% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
H2H · Yui Ohwaki 0 – 5 Junri Namigata (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yui Ohwaki 0–5 Junri Namigata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/26 UTR Pro Yokohama Women | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/01/26 UTR Pro Yokohama Women | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/12/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/08/25 UTR Pro Yokohama Women | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/07/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yui Ohwaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Rio Maeda UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Ran Inaba UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Xiang Liu W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 01/07 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Rira Kosaka W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Miho Kuramochi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Hee Rae Im W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Junri Namigata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ran Inaba UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Rio Maeda UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Mayuka Aikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Kokoro Ishikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/06 | Chisato Kanemaki UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/06 | Yura Nakagawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Yuko Wadazumi UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/05 | Mio Mushika W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Yuno Kitahara W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/05 | Tenika Mcgiffin W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yui Ohwaki vs Junri Namigata?
Our model gives 73% to Junri Namigata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.