Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · 17/07, 02:00
Prediction: Azuna Ichioka vs Haruna Arakawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Azuna Ichioka
Haruna Arakawa
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Azuna Ichioka
6-4 (W-L)
Haruna Arakawa
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Azuna Ichioka 1559 · Haruna Arakawa 1440
| Azuna Ichioka | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Azuna Ichioka (rating 1559 vs 1440).
- Azuna Ichioka is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Azuna Ichioka | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.6 | 8.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 51.1% | 50.9% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Azuna Ichioka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Michiru Furuya UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Aoi Watanabe UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Hinata Furutani UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Ikumi Yamazaki W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Tiana Tian Deng W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/04 | Yeon Woo Ku W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/03 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/03 | Aoi Yoshida UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/03 | Moka Ito UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Misaki Matsuda ITF W35 Hamamatsu |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/10 | Katherine Sebov ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Nadia Lagaev ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Amelia Rajecki ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Teah Chavez ITF W35 Quebec City |
1-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Ana Grubor ITF W35 Quebec City |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Akasha Urhobo ITF W35 Redding · Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 30/09 | Katarina Jokic ITF W35 San Rafael · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Azuna Ichioka vs Haruna Arakawa?
Our model gives 53% to Azuna Ichioka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.