Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · 16/07, 04:00
Prediction: Yui Ohwaki vs Mua Shigeta
Prediction summary
Winner
Yui Ohwaki
Mua Shigeta
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yui Ohwaki
4-6 (W-L)
Mua Shigeta
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yui Ohwaki
0–1
Mua Shigeta
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yui Ohwaki 1489 · Mua Shigeta 1501
| Yui Ohwaki | Mua Shigeta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yui Ohwaki 0–1 Mua Shigeta (1).
Statistics
| Yui Ohwaki | Mua Shigeta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.9 | 8.4-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 50% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 60.5% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
H2H · Yui Ohwaki 0 – 1 Mua Shigeta (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yui Ohwaki 0–1 Mua Shigeta
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/24 UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women | 1-2 | 12-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yui Ohwaki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Rio Maeda UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Ran Inaba UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Xiang Liu W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 01/07 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Rira Kosaka W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Miho Kuramochi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Hee Rae Im W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Mua Shigeta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Chinari Kobayashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Kaili Demi Teso UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ho Ching Wu W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/03 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/03 | Rito Arima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/03 | Yuzuki Miyajima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/03 | Misaki Yamagishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/03 | Rei Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/03 | Miyu Nakashima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yui Ohwaki vs Mua Shigeta?
Our model gives 56% to Yui Ohwaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.