Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · 16/07, 04:00
Prediction: Michiru Furuya vs Nana Kawagishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Michiru Furuya
Nana Kawagishi
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Michiru Furuya
5-5 (W-L)
Nana Kawagishi
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michiru Furuya
0–1
Nana Kawagishi
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michiru Furuya 1495 · Nana Kawagishi 1450
| Michiru Furuya | Nana Kawagishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michiru Furuya (rating 1495 vs 1450).
- Michiru Furuya is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Michiru Furuya 0–1 Nana Kawagishi (1).
- Note: Michiru Furuya makes many double faults (7.5/match).
- Note: Nana Kawagishi makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Michiru Furuya | Nana Kawagishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.4-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.2 | 7.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 66.7% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
H2H · Michiru Furuya 0 – 1 Nana Kawagishi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michiru Furuya 0–1 Nana Kawagishi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 UTR Pro Yokohama Women | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michiru Furuya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hinata Furutani UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Aoi Watanabe UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/03 | Rei Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/03 | Hannah Allen UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/03 | Aoi Yoshida UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/03 | Miyu Nakashima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/03 | Miyu Kusakabe UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/03 | Honoka Uchiyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/03 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Nana Kawagishi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Aely Arai UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Seri Nayuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Kurumi Tamura W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Eunchae Kim W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Aishi Das W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Fang An Lin W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Jeong Moon W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michiru Furuya vs Nana Kawagishi?
Our model gives 54% to Nana Kawagishi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.