Tennis · M15 Rochester · 18/07, 16:30
Prediction: Tristan McCormick vs Jerrid Gaines Jr
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan McCormick
Jerrid Gaines Jr
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan McCormick
6-4 (W-L)
Jerrid Gaines Jr
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan McCormick 1503 · Jerrid Gaines Jr 1485
| Tristan McCormick | Jerrid Gaines Jr | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jerrid Gaines Jr makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Tristan McCormick | Jerrid Gaines Jr | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.2 | 11.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan McCormick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Sulaiman Syed M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Noah Johnston M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Alexis Gurmendi M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/02 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/02 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Metepec · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/02 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Jerrid Gaines Jr
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Axel Nefve M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Drew Fishback M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Andrew Delgado M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/04 | Yannik Alvarez M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Jack Kennedy M15 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/04 | Alexander Kotzen M15 Boca Raton |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 18/02 | Pierre Delage M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Freddie Ridout M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/02 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Sunrise |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/02 | Fermin Tenti M15 Palm Coast |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan McCormick vs Jerrid Gaines Jr?
Our model gives 56% to Tristan McCormick, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.