Tennis · M15 Rochester · 16/07, 21:30
Prediction: Dakotah Bobo vs Muhammad Shoaib
Prediction summary
Winner
Dakotah Bobo
Muhammad Shoaib
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Dakotah Bobo
2-8 (W-L)
Muhammad Shoaib
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dakotah Bobo 1432 · Muhammad Shoaib 1577
| Dakotah Bobo | Muhammad Shoaib | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Muhammad Shoaib (rating 1432 vs 1577).
- Muhammad Shoaib dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 50% break avg.
- Muhammad Shoaib is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dakotah Bobo | Muhammad Shoaib | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.8 | 13.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dakotah Bobo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Stiles Brockett M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Krish Arora M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/05 | Fajing Sun Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Ryan Haviland M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Junior T Pichardo M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/04 | Davide Tortora M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/04 | Carles Cordoba M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Muhammad Shoaib
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Sean Grosman M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/05 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 09/05 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Adam Faragcao M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 06/05 | Melih Anavatan M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/05 | Nikita Ianin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/05 | Fanming Meng M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/05 | Leo Borg M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/11 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Islamabad · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dakotah Bobo vs Muhammad Shoaib?
Our model gives 54% to Muhammad Shoaib, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.