Tennis · M15 Rochester · 17/07, 20:00
Prediction: Alexander Bernard vs Michael Antonius
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Bernard
Michael Antonius
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Bernard
7-3 (W-L)
Michael Antonius
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Bernard
1–0
Michael Antonius
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Bernard 1565 · Michael Antonius 1532
| Alexander Bernard | Michael Antonius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alexander Bernard 1–0 Michael Antonius (1).
Statistics
| Alexander Bernard | Michael Antonius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8 | 11.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Alexander Bernard 1 – 0 Michael Antonius (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Bernard 1–0 Michael Antonius
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/25 M15 Rochester | 2-0 | 11-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Bernard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Ilija Palavestra M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Daniel Kliebhan M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Vuk Radjenovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Vuk Radjenovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 20/12 | Callum Markowitz UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/12 | Jose David Segovia Perez UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/12 | Hod'abalo Isak Padio UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/12 | Tygen Goldammer UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/12 | Louay Makke UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Michael Antonius
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Dillon Beckles M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Jonah Braswell M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/05 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Evan Bynoe M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/04 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/04 | Davide Tortora M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/04 | Ryan Cozad M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Bernard vs Michael Antonius?
Our model gives 62% to Michael Antonius, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.