Tennis · M15 Rochester · 17/07, 20:00
Prediction: Tristan McCormick vs Benjamin Willwerth
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan McCormick
Benjamin Willwerth
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan McCormick
6-4 (W-L)
Benjamin Willwerth
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan McCormick 1493 · Benjamin Willwerth 1530
| Tristan McCormick | Benjamin Willwerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tristan McCormick | Benjamin Willwerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.3 | 11.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan McCormick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Sulaiman Syed M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Noah Johnston M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Alexis Gurmendi M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/02 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/02 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Metepec · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/02 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/02 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Benjamin Willwerth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Reece Falck M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Izyan Ahmad M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Laval |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/06 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Luke Hooper M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan McCormick vs Benjamin Willwerth?
Our model gives 57% to Benjamin Willwerth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.