Tennis · ATP Estoril · 18/07, 16:00
Prediction: Joao Domingues vs Timofey Skatov
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Domingues
Timofey Skatov
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Domingues
3-7 (W-L)
Timofey Skatov
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joao Domingues
0–1
Timofey Skatov
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Domingues 1508 · Timofey Skatov 1501
| Joao Domingues | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Joao Domingues 0–1 Timofey Skatov (1).
Statistics
| Joao Domingues | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.9 | 11.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Joao Domingues 0 – 1 Timofey Skatov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joao Domingues 0–1 Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/22 Challenger Roseto | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Domingues
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 19/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Tiago Cacao M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Anirudh Chandrasekar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Elias Ymer Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Alex Barrena Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | James Watt Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 09/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Domingues vs Timofey Skatov?
Our model gives 63% to Timofey Skatov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.