Tennis · ATP Estoril · 18/07, 13:00
Prediction: Edas Butvilas vs Clement Tabur
Prediction summary
Winner
Edas Butvilas
Clement Tabur
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Edas Butvilas
5-5 (W-L)
Clement Tabur
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edas Butvilas 1450 · Clement Tabur 1527
| Edas Butvilas | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clement Tabur (rating 1450 vs 1527).
- Clement Tabur dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 42.6% break avg.
- Clement Tabur is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Edas Butvilas | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.7-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.8 | 14.9-13.5 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 29.8% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edas Butvilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Moez Echargui Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Alexander Bublik ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/05 | James Duckworth ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Clement Tabur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 13/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Hendrik Jebens ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-22 | L |
| 24/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Federico Agustin Gomez Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edas Butvilas vs Clement Tabur?
Our model gives 61% to Clement Tabur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.