Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 18/07, 17:00
Prediction: Thiago Cigarran vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Cigarran
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Cigarran
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Cigarran
0–2
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Cigarran 1506 · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1493
| Thiago Cigarran | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Thiago Cigarran 0–2 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (2).
- Note: Thiago Cigarran makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Thiago Cigarran | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.4 | 10.4-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 38% | 26.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Thiago Cigarran 0 – 2 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Cigarran 0–2 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 M15 La Plata | 0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 28/06/21 M15 Antalya | 1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Murkel Dellien M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Santiago Lora M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Fermin Tenti M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/05 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Jose Pereira Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Cigarran vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?
Our model gives 62% to Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.