Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 17/07, 18:30
Prediction: Maximo Zeitune vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximo Zeitune
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maximo Zeitune
6-4 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximo Zeitune 1489 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1567
| Maximo Zeitune | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1489 vs 1567).
- Carlos Maria Zarate is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Carlos Maria Zarate makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Maximo Zeitune | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.3 | 12.3-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 73% |
| Break % | 70.3% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximo Zeitune
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Alvaro Frutos Alonso Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Juan Bautista Torres M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Lautaro Rocha M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/05 | Luka Bojicic Ono M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Bastian Malla M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Mateo Del Pino M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Lora M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximo Zeitune vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 59% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.