Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 17/07, 15:00
Prediction: Murkel Dellien vs Thiago Cigarran
Prediction summary
Winner
Murkel Dellien
Thiago Cigarran
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Murkel Dellien
5-5 (W-L)
Thiago Cigarran
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Murkel Dellien
1–0
Thiago Cigarran
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Murkel Dellien 1536 · Thiago Cigarran 1486
| Murkel Dellien | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Murkel Dellien (rating 1536 vs 1486).
- Head-to-head: Murkel Dellien 1–0 Thiago Cigarran (1).
Statistics
| Murkel Dellien | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.8 | 11.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 34.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Murkel Dellien 1 – 0 Thiago Cigarran (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Murkel Dellien 1–0 Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/24 ITF M25 Punta del Este | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Murkel Dellien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Enzo Lima M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Tomas Martinez M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/05 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/05 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/05 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/05 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/04 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/04 | Francisco Tomas Geschwind M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Santiago Lora M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Murkel Dellien vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model gives 68% to Murkel Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.