Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 17/07, 15:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Fermin Tenti
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Fermin Tenti
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
6-4 (W-L)
Fermin Tenti
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
2–2
Fermin Tenti
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1479 · Fermin Tenti 1533
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Fermin Tenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fermin Tenti (rating 1479 vs 1533).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Fermin Tenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.4 | 10.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 24.3% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 2 – 2 Fermin Tenti (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 2–2 Fermin Tenti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/23 ITF M15 Santa Cruz | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/11/23 ITF M15 Rosario | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/03/22 ITF M15 Marrakech | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10/21 ITF M15 Girona | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/05 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Jose Pereira Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/05 | Murkel Dellien M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Fermin Tenti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Peter Bertran Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Nick Hardt Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/05 | Rai Vicente de Araujo Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Fermin Tenti?
Our model gives 60% to Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.