Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 16/07, 15:00
Prediction: Santiago Giamichelle vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Santiago Giamichelle
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Giamichelle
8-2 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Giamichelle 1543 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1578
| Santiago Giamichelle | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Santiago Giamichelle | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.5 | 12.3-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Giamichelle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 23/05 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Wilson Leite M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Valentino Grippo M15 Maringa Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Bastian Malla M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Mateo Del Pino M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Lora M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Giamichelle vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 65% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.